WeatherTrend: Mid and long term forecasting at its best
Services for the Gas and Power Energy Trading Sector
Have you realised how unpredictable and unreliable automatic regional or portfolio wind power generation forecasts are beyond a few days ahead? These automatic forecasts, as well as those for temperature or precipitation, have a strong tendency to show the climatic mean value for forecast horizons beyond 10 days. The accuracy of uncorrected automatic mid and long-term forecasts is limited to the skill of the forecast ensemble mean. We specialise in providing highly accurate, easy to interpret mid-term probabilistic regional temperature, precipitation and wind power generation forecasts. All of our forecasts are produced by combining state-of-the-art numerical prediction models, past analogue situation evaluation and a thorough probabilistic analysis by our forecasting team. At WeatherTrend we go beyond automatized solutions.
What does WeatherTrend offer?
All of our services offer full access to a dedicated meteorologist. Depending on the forecast horizon, our range of services include:
15 day ahead regional temperature, precipitation and wind power forecasts
Accurate predictions of wind power generation peaks or valleys, cold and heat waves and intense precipitation events up to 2 weeks in advance.
Forecast of the forecast – WeatherTrend provides our clients with a competitive advantage by predicting variations between consecutive forecast runs with a high rate of success. Beyond a 120 hour horizon, wind power generation forecasts can be extremely volatile, varying by up to several GWs. Our forecast methodology allows you to capitalise on these variations.
Month ahead regional temperature, precipitation and wind power forecasts
Accurate predictions of anomalies over regional climatic mean values of Wind Power Generation, Temperature and Precipitation up to 6 weeks ahead
Proprietary and unique state-of-the-art long-term forecast methodology that combines subseasonal NWP model forecasts, reforecasts and past analogue years analysis
Intelligence on the meteorological character of the next month i.e. amount of storms to hit a region or likeliness for cold or hot waves
Accurate predictions of anomalies over regional climatic mean values of Wind Power Generation, Temperature and Precipitation up to 3-months ahead
Proprietary state-of-the-art long-term forecast methodology, that combines seasonal NWP model forecasts, past analogue years analysis, stratosphere analysis and long term climatic teleconnection indexes analysis
Issued once a month, it provides detailed information on the uncertainty and probability of departure from the climatic mean
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